How many points does Darrell Arthur score here? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cx9qs4Txe8c
Miami, by Reg.Adjusted +/- (times Projected %Minutes)
OKC, by Reg.Adjusted +/- (times Projected %Minutes)
McAdoo replacing Henson isn't a bad draw. Though these are probably skewed by teammates and strength of schedule.
An in-depth look at my upcoming stat-geek-idol post. #justkidding
Updated Bracket Odds: Ohio State and Kentucky still reign...
predicted # of upsets today, by time of day (game-end)
Did 1,000 simulations of today's games based on Pomeroy's probabilities. Here are the likely # of seed-upsets:
FINAL CHEAT SHEET with all 4 play-in games. Each team shown by avg. # of wins in simulation (10,000 sims).
Here are your contrarian picks (if you're using multiple brackets): Top teams = pick em! Bottom teams = be careful
Seeding upset likelihood, including team with worst odds (top 32 teams):
Adjusted @kenpomeroy's adjusted efficiency margins by removing opponent 3P% and FT%
aand here's offensive rebound% margin versus point differential. positive, but barely.
Offensive rebound margin in the NBA this year, versus point differential.
Too early in the season to take a lot out of this, but here are my ratings. Not for the faint of heart.
Follow the link to view more details or to create your own Tweet Cloud: http://w33.us/ak8n
Follow the link to view more details or to create your own Tweet Cloud: http://w33.us/ak8m
Follow the link to view more details or to create your own Tweet Cloud: http://w33.us/ak8k
UNC defense vs. MSU: (FYI, this simple method has better predictive accuracy than defensive +/- and Oliver's DRTG)
vs. UNCA: Zeller and Henson doing better than Barnes' 35% TO rate.
Philosoraptor wonders how good Duke really is...
©2016 Twitpic Inc, All Rights Reserved